Will Donald Trump be banned from running for President under the insurrection clause of Section 3 of the 14th Amendment?
Plus
30
Ṁ6116Nov 11
4%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will Donald Trump be banned from running for President under the insurrection clause of Section 3 of the 14th Amendment?
Resolves positively if there's a court decision that prevents Donald Trump running, and as a result he is unable to appear on the final ballot in at least one state where he could be competitive, or if he is prevented from taking his oath of office due to the 14th amendment.
See also
- https://manifold.markets/RyanKidd/will-at-least-one-us-state-print-ba
- https://manifold.markets/B/will-trump-sue-to-be-allowed-to-run
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4532751
https://www.vox.com/23828477/trump-2024-14th-amendment-banned
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Donald Trump NOT be inaugurated?
50% chance
Will Trump be disqualified from the presidency on insurrection grounds
1% chance
Will Donald Trump be legally barred from running in the 2024 Presidential election?
2% chance
Will Donald Trump be eligible to run for president in 2024?
99% chance
Will Donald Trump ever be president again?
53% chance
If Donald Trump wins the presidency in 2024, will he get banned from any major social media site at any point during his term?
49% chance
Will Trump be disqualified from holding office before the 2024 election?
1% chance
Will Trump be confined in 2024?
18% chance
Will Congress attempt to ban Trump from office by enforcing the 14th amendment during 2024?
5% chance
Will the US Supreme Court disqualify Donald Trump from holding presidential office under Section 3 of the Constitution?
4% chance