Will King Charles III of England's reign be long enough for the development of AGI? | Manifold

Will King Charles III of England's reign be long enough for the development of AGI?

64

1kṀ5108

2066

11%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Effective Altruism

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Will we have at least one more AI winter before AGI is realized?

Will King Charles live to see the creation of AGI?

Will humans create AGI, either directly or indirectly, within the next 24 months?

By when will we have AGI?

Will we have an AGI as smart as a "generally educated human" by the end of 2025?

Sort by:

bought Ṁ150 NO

This might be the most embarassingly priced market on the site.

https://arxiv.org/abs/2304.10970

https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/healthandlifeexpectancies/articles/lifeexpectancycalculator/2019-06-07

This probably underestimates King Charles's life expectancy (his parents lived to 99 and 96), but it assumes he doesn't abdicate.

What would lead to resolution?

presumably King Charles's unfortunate demise, whether from being reduced to paperclips or otherwise

People are also trading

Will we have at least one more AI winter before AGI is realized?

Will King Charles live to see the creation of AGI?

Will humans create AGI, either directly or indirectly, within the next 24 months?

By when will we have AGI?

Will we have an AGI as smart as a "generally educated human" by the end of 2025?

Related questions

Will we have at least one more AI winter before AGI is realized?

Will King Charles live to see the creation of AGI?

Will humans create AGI, either directly or indirectly, within the next 24 months?

By when will we have AGI?

Will we have an AGI as smart as a "generally educated human" by the end of 2025?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy