When will Starship / Super Heavy launch?
8
500Ṁ2552
resolved May 1
100%99.8%
Q2 2023
0.0%
Q1 2023
0.1%
Q3 2023
0.0%
Q4 2023
0.0%
Not in 2023

A failed launch attempt will count as a launch for-example RUD on pad during launch sequence.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ66
2Ṁ43
3Ṁ35
4Ṁ28
5Ṁ5
Sort by:

[Admin] Resolving to Q2 2023, thanks for the ping @Mqrius

@Austin Thanks!

Any chance you can do this one as well?

@Mqrius what happens if a prediction doesn't resolve?

@Chax208 Try to contact the market creator if possible (are they still active?). If not, and the creator hasn't been active for at least 7 days, notify someone on discord or elsewhere.

https://help.manifold.markets/unresolved-markets

If the user hasn't been online in a long time and the market should have closed over 7 days ago then Trusted-ish users can resolve the market.

Will you resolve?

Resolves Q2 2023

If it gets off the pad but doesn't get to space, does it still count or not? It would have launched but it would also be a failed launch attempt.

@Mqrius it counts

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules