Will I lose any more mana on self-resolving markets?

6

110Ṁ93

resolved Apr 15

Resolved

YES

1D

1W

1M

ALL

I lost Ṁ1k on https://manifold.markets/ArmandodiMatteo/what-is-the-best-christmas-song-add,
Ṁ165 on https://manifold.markets/GordanKnott/manifold-next-word-prediction-model-f803203b913a,
and Ṁ104 on https://manifold.markets/GordanKnott/manifold-next-word-prediction-model-d0b8c5b7ae14.
Have I learned my lession?

Resolves YES if my profit on any such Keynesian beauty contest in which I haven't already (7 Jan 2024 19:23 CET) bet is ≤ −Ṁ1 at any point during 2024,
NO otherwise (including if I never bet in any such markets anymore).

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Amusingly, if lots of people bet this down heavily to near-zero, you'd have an incentive to bet YES against them and then go lose a tiny bit of mana.

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