Which of these people will be alive in the year we get ASI?
1
750Ṁ602199
50%
Benjamin Netanyahu
50%
Bill Wyman
50%
Brian May
50%
Chuck Norris
50%
Donald Trump
50%
Eliezer Yudkowsky
50%
George Takei
50%
Jimmy Page
50%
Joe Biden
50%
John Deacon
50%
John Paul Jones (musician)
50%
Keith Richards
50%
Mick Jagger
50%
Nick Bostrom
50%
Noam Chomsky
50%
Paul McCartney
50%
Paul R. Ehrlich
50%
Ray Kurzweil
50%
Ringo Starr
50%
Robert Plant
"We get ASI" = 1 January of the year before the first of the questions in this series to resolve YES (e.g. if https://manifold.markets/RemNi/will-we-get-asi-before-2034 resolves NO and https://manifold.markets/RemNi/will-we-get-asi-before-2035 resolves YES, this question resolves based on who is alive on 1 Jan 2024).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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