How many years from 13/03/2025 until ASI?
7
1kṀ4142030
11.9 years
expected1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
8%
0 - 2
20%
3 - 5
21%
6 - 8
8%
9 - 11
8%
12 - 14
8%
15 - 17
8%
18 - 20
21%
Above 20
While I can't think of any single criterion for this market, I believe we'll know ASI when we see it. Human labour will have almost entirely obsolesced, AI will be conquering the stars, the rate and scope of science will have increased beyond our comprehension, etc.
Market created on 12/03/2025.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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