Which of the following papacy-related events will occur first?
Basic
4
Ṁ100
2500
8%
Another pope uses the papal name Peter
33%
A female pope is elected
18%
The papacy is abolished (see description)
41%
None of the above happens by 2500

I'll resolve this to "the papacy is abolished" if, ten years after the death or resignation or deposition of a pope, a successor hasn't been elected and there are no active plans to elect one.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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How would this market define who the real pope is if a major schism occurs? (Which is far far more likely than a female pope of an unambiguous sucseor to today's catholic church)

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