Which of the following papacy-related events will occur first?
3
46
Ṁ90Ṁ180
2500
1D
1W
1M
ALL
9%
Another pope uses the papal name Peter
37%
A female pope is elected
20%
The papacy is abolished (see description)
34%
None of the above happens by 2500
I'll resolve this to "the papacy is abolished" if, ten years after the death or resignation or deposition of a pope, a successor hasn't been elected and there are no active plans to elect one.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
How old will the first Catholic pope after Francis be at election?
Which of these potentially world-changing discoveries will happen first?
Which will occur first?
What will happen first
On which continent will the next Pope be born?
Will there be a schism in the US Catholic Church prior to end of 2025?
18% chance
Who will mary first?
What will happen first?