When will a new Catholic pope be elected after Francis?
4
Ṁ200Ṁ193resolved Dec 13
ResolvedN/A
5%
2024 or earlier
13%
2025
15%
2026
15%
2027
13%
2028
12%
2029
11%
2030
16%
2031 or later
Resolves according to the time of the "habemus papam" announcement in the Vatican time zone (if the announcement straddles the midnight of 1 January, I will flip a coin).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@Admin I seem to have listed this as "Non-Predictive" by accident and for some reason I can't undo that