Will 5 people who made a Manifold account because of the New York Times article comment on this question?

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resolved Mar 1

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NO

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1M

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I learned about Manifold from this article. I'm curious about how many other people made an account after reading the article and are still active on Manifold.

This market will resolve to YES if at least 5 people (not including me) post a comment (truthfully) saying that the New York Times article caused them to make a Manifold account. Otherwise, it will resolve to NO at the end of February. I was inspired by /PC/will-10-people-who-signed-up-for-ma

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I had heard of Manifold before, but yes, the article caused me to make an account.

Sure, I did. I've posted that elsewhere here.

Does Hark Fork count? They’re both NYT and Kevin Roose

@mattyb Hmm, I think for this market it has to be the specific article in the description that caused you to learn about Manifold. I'll make another market for people who learned about Manifold from Hard Fork. I actually didn't know about the Hard Fork podcast before now, it looks really interesting!

@Arky I love it! Definitely listen to it. And your criteria makes sense. I only found the site from the podcast.

@mattyb Hard Fork version

@Arky it says "article caused you to make account" not "caused you to learn of Manifold"

@JohnJannotti Sure that still counts

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Will >1 person make a Manifold account as a result of my class presentation heavily promoting it?

Will Manifold be in the NYT again before the end of 2024?

If polled in 2025, will the majority of Manifold users say this site has become their primary social media platform?

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Will the first mention of Manifold in mainstream news be positive?

Will the Manifold X/Twitter account (@manifoldmarkets) tweet this question before 2025?

Will the New York Times create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

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What name will we choose for the Manifold merchandise store?

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Will >1 person make a Manifold account as a result of my class presentation heavily promoting it?

Will the first mention of Manifold in mainstream news be positive?

Will Manifold be in the NYT again before the end of 2024?

Will the Manifold X/Twitter account (@manifoldmarkets) tweet this question before 2025?

If polled in 2025, will the majority of Manifold users say this site has become their primary social media platform?

Will the New York Times create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

If Manifold gets negative news coverage, will a large number of new users join?

Will Manifold be prominently featured in a NYT article again before the end of 2024?