If Biden wins [state] will he win the 2024 presidential election?
14
90
Ṁ1.1KṀ675
2025
1D
1W
1M
ALL
90%
North Carolina
85%
Georgia
80%
Pennsylvania
80%
Arizona
79%
Wisconsin
76%
Michigan
76%
Nevada
For each option:
If Biden wins the state and wins the presidential election it resolves to YES
If Biden wins the state and loses the presidential election it resolves to NO
If Biden does not win the state it resolves to N/A
I am using "Biden" to refer to the Democratic nominee for simplicity's sake. If Biden is not the Democratic nominee, this market will refer to whoever ends up being the 2024 Democratic presidential candidate.
Get Ṁ200 play money
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