Will I publish at least 5 posts to LessWrong after January 7 and before March 16?
17
Ṁ270Ṁ3.2kresolved Feb 20
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Market resolves after 11:59pm on March 15, San Francisco time or after five posts are published.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ227 | |
| 2 | Ṁ164 | |
| 3 | Ṁ90 | |
| 4 | Ṁ14 | |
| 5 | Ṁ14 |
People are also trading
Will I post 2 articles on my Substack between 16Mar - 23Mar
31% chance
Will I write at least 12 substack posts before May 2026?
36% chance
Will I publish 2 blog posts a month every month in 2026?
77% chance
Will I publish 24 Substack posts in 2026?
53% chance
Will "So You Want To Make Marginal Progress..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
31% chance
Will "Publishing academic papers on transformative ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "Good if make prior after data instead of before" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "What’s the short timeline plan?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
5% chance
Will "Prioritizing Work" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
9% chance
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Will I post 2 articles on my Substack between 16Mar - 23Mar
31% chance
Will I write at least 12 substack posts before May 2026?
36% chance
Will I publish 2 blog posts a month every month in 2026?
77% chance
Will I publish 24 Substack posts in 2026?
53% chance
Will "So You Want To Make Marginal Progress..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
31% chance
Will "Publishing academic papers on transformative ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "Good if make prior after data instead of before" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "What’s the short timeline plan?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
5% chance
Will "Prioritizing Work" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
9% chance