Will Arjun's dominant assurance contract reach the required 10 funders?
Basic
14
Ṁ1088
resolved Jan 26
Resolved
NO

See https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/9cvK8QX9ZRBxmEfcz/consider-paying-for-literature-or-book-reviews-using

In theory, writers could kickstart posts using dominant assurance contracts. An example (this is a real offer): If you send $20 to arjun.panickssery at Gmail via PayPal by noon New York time on January 21st, I'll send you back $25 if fewer than 10 people sent me money. If 10 or more people send me money, I'll post a review of Steven Pinker's The Sense of Style: The Thinking Person's Guide to Writing in the 21st Century by the end of the month. I'm not sure whether I'm just giving away free money right now.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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predicted NO

@ArjunPanickssery Did you reach 10 funders?

Just contributed my $20!

Fun fact: I also experimented with a dominant assurance contract as a Manifold market, to fund the implementation of a Dark Mode: https://manifold.markets/Austin/kickstart-will-the-manifold-communi. Sadly, it didn't hit the funding level required...

Manifold in the wild: A Tweet by Arjun Panickssery

https://manifold.markets/ArjunPanickssery/will-arjuns-dominant-assurance-cont

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