[KICKSTART] Will the Manifold community pay M$250k to have Dark Mode?
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411Ṁ3450resolved Aug 14
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@NcyRocks has a proposed change to add Dark Mode to Manifold: https://github.com/manifoldmarkets/manifold/pull/488
You can play with it here: https://prod-git-fork-ncyrocks-dark-mode-mantic.vercel.app/ It's pretty cool!
I'm tentatively in favor of shipping this. The main blocker is, members of the Manifold core team are hesitant about the additional maintenance burden of managing a dark mode. Based on past experiences of supporting Dark Mode, and the thought that it's really not that important compared to other stuff we could be working on to grow our userbase.
So here's my proposal: if the Manifold community collectively decides that Dark Mode actually _is_ really important, they can contribute their M$ to make it happen. If we get $2500 USD = $250k of M$ commitments, I'll take that as a signal that Dark Mode is important enough, and personally work to make it happen.
Here's how I plan on distributing the M$, should we hit the threshold:
M$ 50k to @NcyRocks for kicking off this initiative
M$ 10k to me (@Austin) for organizing all of this
M$ 50k to whoever does the remainder of the work to get Dark Mode in the initial PR
M$ 140k+ set aside as bounties for whoever else continues to help maintain Dark Mode (probably the core team; but maybe not!)
To commit M$ to support Dark Mode, write a comment in this market that starts with "[COMMIT M$1000]" or however much you want to commit. The market itself resolves to YES iff we've hit a total of M$250k in commitments by market close.
Notes
- I'll periodically be deducting the commitments from user balances; if you don't have enough in your balance, I'll make a note.
- Minimum commitment size is M$ 100. You can continue to increase your commitment, but not decrease it. Max total commitment per user is M$ 100k, to keep whales from influencing this too much
- If Dark Mode does not exist by market close, all M$ will be returned, with a 10% bonus for your troubles. So yes, this is a Dominance Assurance Contract: https://www.cato-unbound.org/2017/06/07/alex-tabarrok/making-markets-work-better-dominant-assurance-contracts-some-other-helpful/
- If we do ship Dark Mode, and it turns out to be a clearly good idea in retrospect such that the benefits far outweighs the maintenance costs, the Bank of Manifold may refund some % of your commitments. If we end up thinking Dark Mode is a _really_ good idea, this refund could exceed 100%; so committing here is also similar to buying up an impact certificate for Dark Mode. Note this isn't especially likely; a priori Austin would guess <25% chance that this happens at all, so don't index too heavily on this.
- Austin reserves the right to make any changes to this scheme, including: changing any of the numbers (including the threshold), having final decisions over all M$ allocated, etc.
Jun 13, 5:16pm: Realized this system incentivizes buying in at the last minute for a free 10% gain. To combat this, I'll inelegantly say that only commitments made before Aug 1st, 2 weeks before market close, will count for the 10% bonus. (or let me know if you have a better solution)
Jun 13, 5:16pm: In case we don't reach the M$250K threshold but we decide to add Dark Mode anyways, I'm thinking of keeping the commitments and distributing them proportionally to the scheme above. (This is equivalent to me deciding the threshold should be lower than M$250k). This market will still resolve to YES iff M$250k is reached.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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