Will the Blue Lagoon be destroyed in a volcanic eruption before the end of 2024?
14
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Dec 31
7%
chance

The recent string of eruptions in Iceland over the past three years have all happened close to the Blue Lagoon. The latest reports suggest that a magma intrusion is moving in the vicinity of the Blue Lagoon.

The area has now been evacuated.

Question will resolve yes if the Blue Lagoon is destroyed (fully or to such an extent it is inoperable) by a volcanic eruption in 2023 or 2024. Closures for safety reasons do not count as destruction.

I will not bet on this question.

UPDATE: Eruption has started in the vicinity, lava flow uncertain: https://www.ruv.is/english/2023-12-18-eruption-on-reykjanes-peninsula-399922

Live video feed overlooking The Blue Lagoon: https://www.youtube.com/live/804nPrAUAxg?si=hnKFJdyoEJ3Q8ZF5

https://www.ruv.is/english/2023-10-30-land-rises-near-blue-lagoon-after-earthquakes-395279

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This feels undervalued considering that an eruption within 5km could be imminent according to scientists: https://www.ruv.is/english/2023-12-29-increased-risk-of-eruption-north-of-grindavik-400906

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