MANIFOLD
Will anyone pay me to solve a problem for them?
6
Ṁ1kṀ1.2k
resolved Jul 4
100%16%
I get paid for solving someone's problem
10%
No one offers a bounty by market close
57%
One or more bounties offered but I don't accept any
17%
I accept one or more bounties but don't successfully get paid

https://x.com/AriZerner/status/1808596658864992348

I intend to resolve options to NO within a week if they become impossible (e.g. first option resolves to NO soon after the first bounty is offered) never mind, that's not actually possible, market will only resolve early if I get paid to solve a problem.

First option is out: https://manifold.markets/AriZerner/will-anyone-pay-me-to-solve-a-probl#068tyalxgq85

I will not bet in this market.

To clarify: this market is about real money, not Manifold bounties, see linked tweet

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@traders do you understand this market to be about bounties in general, or only bounties from the linked tweet?

Why should we expect you to give us good solutions?

Incentive-wise, because I want to get paid. Mechanically, is there a particular kind of evidence you'd be happy with?

Idk something concrete, measurable.

Unfortunately part of what I'm doing here is trying to build that up. I could give you my resume as a software engineer, but I'm not sure how well that indicates this kind of general problem solving ability. If it helps, someone at Manifest told me they had heard that I'm "an unusually smart person".

To be clear, I'm envisioning less of "I draw up a plan and you have to trust that it's a good one" and more of "I make a change happen in the world and you can verify it".

Okay, make it so that I'm 12 dollars richer. I'll give you 10 dollars.

Nice lol. I'm gonna decline but that's sufficient to rule out resolution to the first option

I'll give you $10 if you make Yann LeCun vs Eliezer Yudkowsky AI debate happen this month.

What kind of problems are you effective at solving? And what kind of pay are you generally accepting?

I use general intelligence to chart paths through causality to desired world states. My effectiveness is historically unproven, which is why I'm not asking for any advance payment. Pay of course depends on the problem, but I'll consider any offer of $10 or more.

bought Ṁ20 NO

I will pay you 100 mana if you can convince the Manifold team to permanently bring back normal bounties

Oh I should clarify the description, this isn't about M$ bounties

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