[THIS IS FOR THE 2024 WORLD CHAMPIONSHIP]
Resolves YES if McLaren finishes in 3rd place or higher in the World Constructors Championship in 2024, either by season end, or when their position is mathematically impossible to be challenged by a different team.
1,000
3.00@Arch1e
McLaren 593
4th Mercedes 382
So 4th place 211 behind
Points available to 1 team 44*3+15 = 147 so 4th place mathematically cannot catch McLaren by quite a margin now and so this can be resolved.
1 McLaren 566
2 Ferrari 537
3 Red Bull 512
4 Mercedes 366
Max points available to 4th place team is (25+18+1)*4races + sprint races (8+7)*2sprints =206
So McLaren just need to score 7 or Mercedes drop 7 or a combination adding to 7 or more. I would be amazed if this doesn't happen next race let alone not happening in 4 races.
After Brazil Sprint race before full Brazil race
1 McLaren 581
2 Ferrari 547
3 Red Bull 518
4 Mercedes 369
Max points available to 4th place team is (25+18+1)*4races + 1 sprint race (8+7) =191
So if Mercedes scores 191 and McLaren 0, then Mercedes can only get to 560. So McLaren mathematically guaranteed 3rd place or better.