Resolves YES if GPT-5 is publicly released before Claude 4. Resolves NO otherwise.

If it is clear that OpenAI has departed from the GPT-X naming convention, then this market will resolve to NO.

If it is clear that Anthropic has departed from the Claude X naming convention, then this market can still resolve to YES if GPT-5 is released.

Publicly released includes if it is behind their subscription or a roll-out where some people have access and some are still waiting. If it's publicly released but only for API access this will still resolve YES.

• Update 2025-05-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The creator has clarified that for the market to resolve YES based on OpenAI's release, the model must be explicitly named GPT-5.

  • A model named GPT-5o (or similar variations with suffixes/prefixes, e.g., not the exact name "GPT-5") would not qualify as the release of GPT-5 for the purpose of this market resolution.