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Will GPT-5 be released before Claude 4?
10
100Ṁ4012026
8%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if GPT-5 is publicly released before Claude 4. Resolves NO otherwise.
If it is clear that OpenAI has departed from the GPT-X naming convention, then this market will resolve to NO.
If it is clear that Anthropic has departed from the Claude X naming convention, then this market can still resolve to YES if GPT-5 is released.
Publicly released includes if it is behind their subscription or a roll-out where some people have access and some are still waiting. If it's publicly released but only for API access this will still resolve YES.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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