
Will Casgevy, the first cell therapy using CRISPR gene editing, have net sales >$100M in 2024?
Will Casgevy, the first cell therapy using CRISPR gene editing, have net sales >$100M in 2024?
8
110Ṁ330resolved Feb 16
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ43 | |
2 | Ṁ26 | |
3 | Ṁ4 | |
4 | Ṁ0 | |
5 | Ṁ0 |
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will a gene therapy that edits multiple genes using CRISPR be approved by the FDA before 2030?
78% chance
Will a CRISPR-based gene editing therapy for transthyretin (ATTR) amyloidosis be available in the US by 2027?
59% chance
Will there be an in-vivo gene therapy that edits multiple genes at once approved anywhere in the world before 2030?
52% chance
Which applications of CRISPR technology will achieve regulatory approval for use in humans by 2030?
Will I receive any kind of gene therapy created using CRISPR before I die?
66% chance
Will any CRISPR based gene drive be released in the wild by 1/1/2026?
15% chance
Will Cerebras get more than 100% year-to-year growth between 2024 and 2025?
45% chance
Will Cytokinetics agree to be acquired by the end of 2025?
22% chance
Will anyone use the compbio platforms ViaScientific or Bigomics for their Regeneron STS project in 2025?
50% chance
Will we have gene therapy for a major strain of Crohn's disease by 2030?
26% chance