Will any CRISPR based gene drive be released in the wild by 1/1/2026?
Basic
7
Ṁ1182026
25%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if any intentional or accidental release of CRISPR based gene drive occurs and it's detected by 1/1/2026
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
When will there be credible evidence of an organism with a Gene Drive being released in the wild?
Will gene-drives be used to control an introduced animal species population by 2030?
55% chance
Which organism will the first released or escaped gene drive target?
Will DIY Gene Drive happen?
34% chance
Will a gene therapy that edits multiple genes using CRISPR be approved by the FDA before 2030?
77% chance
Which applications of CRISPR technology will achieve regulatory approval for use in humans by 2030?
Will gpt4.5 be released by 2025?
23% chance
Will any genetically modified human embryo be legally born by the end of 2025?
36% chance
Will we figure out how to CRISPR/Fanzor genes into an exotic bird (any bird that isn't ducks/chickens) by EOY 2025
46% chance
Will a gene drive for making humans more peaceful be released by the start of 2040?
7% chance