There’s other markets with the same question so I’ll collect them here to ease your arbitraging
https://manifold.markets/itsTomekK/will-ramzan-kadyrov-stay-alive-thro?r=QW50dGlSYXNpbmVu
https://manifold.markets/AviS/will-chechen-leader-ramzan-kadyrov?r=QW50dGlSYXNpbmVu
https://manifold.markets/BokiLee/will-chechen-leader-ramzan-kadyrov-61c0faedfc17?r=QW50dGlSYXNpbmVu
Not quite the same but almost
https://manifold.markets/PS/will-ramzan-kadyrov-still-be-head-o
@Symmetry There've been claims that he is very sick/in a coma/dead (again).
@PS Interesting, but these aren't the kinds of sources I would attribute a high degree of confidence to all things considered.
@Symmetry That was my initial reaction as well. I've updated a bit towards actual health problems since the reaction by Kadyrov/the Kremlin wasn't really very convincing...
@PS He doesn't look healthy, I'll concede that. But still, people who can still walk around (generally) don't just die.
@Symmetry I think there were doubts voiced as to the date the video was made. Again, not sure how valid those are.
This doesn't settle anything, of course, but make me update toward him not being on his deathbed right now.