Will Ramzan Kadyrov remain the head of the Chechen Republic (Chechnya) by the end of 2025?

1kṀ5692

Dec 30

56%

chance

ALL

The market is inspired by the latest news reports about possible Ramzan disease.

I will not bet on this market.

Resolution criteria:

1. Positive Resolution (YES): The market should resolve as "YES" if Ramzan Kadyrov is officially holding the position of the head of the Chechen Republic at 23:59 local time on December 31, 2025, as confirmed by official statements from the Russian government or credible news sources recognized by the market creator.

2. Negative Resolution (NO): The market should resolve as "NO" if Ramzan Kadyrov is not holding the position of the head of the Chechen Republic at any point prior to 23:59 local time on December 31, 2025. This includes scenarios where he may have resigned, been removed from office, or any other circumstance that results in him not being in office at the specified time. Confirmation must come from official government announcements or credible news sources recognized by the market creator.

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28 Holders

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What is this?

What is Manifold?

Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.

Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.

Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.

Are our predictions accurate?

Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.

Why use play money?

Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.

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