Will the value of Bitcoin pass 100k USD by the end of 2024?
Jan 2, 2025
M$1,187 bet
Related metaculus question: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3820/bitcoin-extremes-will-1-bitcoin-be-worth-100000-or-more-before-2025/ Will resolve positively if at any time between now and December 31, 2024 the value of 1 bitcoin is greater than or equal to $100k USD.

Bolton Bailey bought M$1 of NO14 days ago

If there was really a 78% chance of this, then even if BTC went to zero the other 22% of the time, this would still be something like an 80% expected annual rate of return.