Will the value of Bitcoin pass 100k USD by the end of 2024?
Crypto Prices
111
684
Ṁ1.1K
2025
31%
chance
Related metaculus question: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3820/bitcoin-extremes-will-1-bitcoin-be-worth-100000-or-more-before-2025/ Will resolve positively if at any time between now and December 31, 2024 the value of 1 bitcoin is greater than or equal to $100k USD.
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bought Ṁ10 of NO

A battle of nic(k)s

bought Ṁ100 of YES
Metaculus gives this odds of 40%, I'm buying when yes is at 18%
bought Ṁ200 of NO
Considering where it is today vs the chance it nearly doubles from the peak of previous speculation...feeling good on this one.
bought Ṁ1 of NO
If there was really a 78% chance of this, then even if BTC went to zero the other 22% of the time, this would still be something like an 80% expected annual rate of return.

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