(the 7 day period must fully complete before the end of 2023)
non-"amplified odds" version of https://manifold.markets/AndyMartin/amplified-odds-10x-will-binance-sus
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π Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | αΉ3,060 | |
2 | αΉ574 | |
3 | αΉ104 | |
4 | αΉ71 | |
5 | αΉ64 |
https://www.semafor.com/article/08/02/2023/us-prosecutors-worry-binance-charges-could-cause-run-on-exchange
Quoting Molly White: To me, this seems to suggest theyβre concerned that Binance is insolvent, because otherwise a run on the exchange (which should simply be custodying cryptocurrencies, not lending them out or doing other things with them as turned out to be the case with FTX) should not be catastrophic. (https://newsletter.mollywhite.net/p/issue-35-pondering-my-orb)
@nfd 1. I'd lean towards saying only the main Binance site, but if a majority of market participants are surprised by that interpretation, we could include Binance US too
Yes anything that prevents a majority of users from making withdraws for a seven day period would qualify