When will the linked Manifold market on Trump winning the election leave the 25-75% range for the last time?
Plus
10
Ṁ1062Dec 5
51%
11/5
22%
11/6
5%
11/7
2%
11/8
1.9%
11/4
1.9%
11/9
1.9%
11/10
1.9%
11/11
1.9%
11/12
1.9%
11/13
1.9%
11/14
1.9%
11/15
1.9%
The market will be resolved while still been 25 and 75%
1.9%
11/16 or later
1.6%
When will this market: https://manifold.markets/ManifoldPolitics/will-trump-win-the-2024-election go above 75% or below 25% for the last time before getting resolved? (I.e. if it goes to 76% and then back to 74% that doesn't count, it has to stay outside that range until it is resolved.)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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