When will the linked Manifold market on Trump winning the election leave the 25-75% range for the last time?
Plus
26
Ṁ7881resolved Nov 7
100%97%
11/5
0.2%
11/4
0.3%
11/6
0.2%
11/7
0.2%
11/8
0.2%
11/9
0.2%
11/10
0.2%
11/11
0.2%
11/12
0.2%
11/13
0.2%
11/14
0.2%
11/15
0.2%
The market will be resolved while still been 25 and 75%
0.2%
11/16 or later
0.2%Other
When will this market: https://manifold.markets/ManifoldPolitics/will-trump-win-the-2024-election go above 75% or below 25% for the last time before getting resolved? (I.e. if it goes to 76% and then back to 74% that doesn't count, it has to stay outside that range until it is resolved.)
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