How many answers will this question have when it closes?
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Plus
67
Ṁ200k
in 5 hours
98.6%
100

Including "Other," how many answers will this question have when it closes?

If more than one answer is correct, the most restrictive of the correct answers will resolve to Yes. For example, if one answer is "An even number" and another answer is "Six," and there are six answers when the question closes, then "Six" would resolve to Yes because it is more restrictive than "An even number." And similarly, "A number divisible by 3" would be more restrictive than "An even number" if those were the only two correct answers.

If I determine that more than one correct answer are equally the most restrictive correct answer, then I will split the decision evenly between the most restrictive correct answers.

Please don't add an answer that is equivalent to an answer that has already been added.

I won't be changing the closing date/time of this question or betting on it myself. I also won't be adding any further answers myself.

Update 2025-24-01: Going forward, I would appreciate it if all answers are legible to all traders. And if anyone adds "The number of answers this question has" or anything equivalent to that, that will be treated as the least restrictive answer (equivalent to "Any number") and automatically resolve to No (since "Odd" and "Even" have already been added, which are both more restrictive than "Any number") when the question closes (even though it is technically a variable finite set of N=1).

  • Update 2025-25-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Most Restrictive Answer Parsing:

    • The most restrictive answer is interpreted as a finite set that includes all other answers that are single static integers.

    • This finite set is considered less restrictive than any individual answer within the set.

  • Update 2025-25-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarifications on Resolution Criteria:

    • All sets are treated as finite sets.

    • Set members are counted between 1 and 100 to determine restrictiveness.

  • Update 2025-25-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Additional Clarifications:

    • Equivalent sets (e.g., "prime number between 1 and 100") cannot be added to increase restrictiveness.

  • Update 2025-25-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarifications on Restrictiveness:

    • Variable values are considered less restrictive than static values.

    • Static values (e.g., "100") remain the most restrictive when resolving the market.

  • Update 2025-28-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarifications on Restrictiveness:

    • Adding extraneous elements to an answer does not increase its restrictiveness for tiebreaking purposes.

    • If multiple answers are deemed equivalent in restrictiveness, the first added correct answer resolves to Yes, and subsequent equivalent answers resolve to No.

    • No answer is more restrictive than a single static value; adding variable conditions (e.g., "100 and...") does not increase restrictiveness.

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Please remove duplicates right before closing 🤣

Please don't add an answer that is equivalent to an answer that has already been added.

Celebrity gif. Michael Jordan bites his lip, then scrunches up his face in laughter, covers his mouth, and cracks up before catching his breath.

sold Ṁ151 YES

@ian if you’re feeling spicy, today would be a fun day to push an update that allows for >100 answers on MC markets 🌶️😜🤣

opened a Ṁ15,000 YES at 99.0% order

NOOOOOOooo

@ian just increasing the limit to 101 answers per MC market even just for today would be hilarious.

(It might make you an enemy of @Bayesian though.)

while you're here ian multiple choice with 30+ answers is super buggy and should be fixed or removed, it's terrible ux, crashes continuously, etc.

@Bayesian lol, is it the client side crashes?

@ian yes i think so

@Bayesian Bagelfan said the superbowl market works fine, maybe it's more than 30 answers where it starts going south?

maybe yeah. @Robincvgr did your page crash when you were adding the new answers?

@Bayesian yeah it was pretty crashy

@ian This market gives me the application error if I try to bet up an option at 0%

@bagelfan Gotcha, I guess noone is trying to do that in the superbowl question

filled a Ṁ25,000 YES at 99.0% order
sold Ṁ3 YES

@Robincvgr why are you changing answers?

opened a Ṁ1,000 YES at 67% order

@snazzlePop i'm not?

@snazzlePop just been adding "[resolves no]" over and over

@Robincvgr do you even make profit from it?

sold Ṁ0 YES

@Gameknight I value my profit counter going up more than the actual mana

Under 17 hours remaining. 38 answers currently. Remaining valid answers as of this post (assuming a maximum of 100 answers):

  • 100, static, N=1

  • 38 to 50, static, N=13 (winner if no additional answers are added and neither of the variable answers resolve to true)

  • More than 60, static, N=40

  • 43, static, N=1

  • 45, static, N=1

  • 41, static, N=1

  • 69, static, N=1

  • Exactly half the number of traders, variable, N=1

  • Even number of them, static, N=50

  • 39, static, N=1

  • The closing percentage of this option (rounded to the nearest percent if <2% or >98%), variable, N=1

  • 51 to 55, static, N=5

  • 99, static, N=1

  • Odd number of them, static, N=50

  • A prime number, static, N=25

38 answers now.

Lol, my position in this is six times my net worth. Largely mutually exclusive of course.

@Nightsquared The string associated with this is "02b49efa7436ccbab411d1688b2e0632Number:13"

Heck. I didn't understand how the 'other' option worked and now I'm gonna lose two thousand mana

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