Will the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives be elected on the fifteenth ballot? | Manifold

Will the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives be elected on the fifteenth ballot?

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11

Ṁ24k

resolved Jan 7

Resolved

YES

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1W

1M

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#118th Congress

#Speaker of the House election

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@jack misclick?

@citrinitas The liquidity pool was a bit wonky, so a small-ish increase to my bet moved it from 99% to 99.9%. Then I sold some back down. (For those familiar with the AMM math, it's because p is like 0.98)

Ah, misread the user positions and I thought somehow you'd sold way more than you did

oh no

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