This market will resolve based solely on the FiveThirtyEight "Who's Ahead in National Polls" chart. Specifically, I will check the page at 9pm eastern the day before the caucus, and resolve based on the average listed there at that time, if there is a section called "Average as of today". If the section is titled "Average as of yesterday" or similar, I will check the "Average as of yesterday" on the morning of the caucus. In other cases, I will do my best to use the chart to estimate the averages on the evening before the caucus.

DeSantis is currently in second place. Will he still be in second place right before the first caucuses?