Will Democrats control the Senate at any point before January 31, 2030?
21
1kṀ13882030
46%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES as soon as Democrats (including senators who are widely considered to caucus with the Democrats) have a majority in the US Senate (or 50 seats, plus the vice president's tie-breaking vote). Resolves NO on January 31, 2030.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
33% chance
Will Democrats control the US Senate any time after the 2024 elections and before the 2030 elections?
57% chance
Is 2022-2024 The Last Time This Decade Democrats Will Control The Senate?
43% chance
If Democrats win the House in the 2026 midterms, will they also win the Senate?
39% chance
Will the US Senate confirm an opposite-party Supreme Court nominee before 2030?
16% chance
Will Democrats or Republicans win a majority in the senate in 2026?
Will Democrats lose control of the senate in 2024 and 2026, then regain it in 2028?
25% chance
Democrats control Senate in 2030?
40% chance
In which election cycle will Democrats next win control of the Senate?
Will Democrats regain control of the Senate in 2026?
36% chance