MANIFOLD
Where will I be on January 15, 2025?
12
Ṁ1.3kṀ4.6k
resolved Jan 21
Resolved
YES
A state that voted for Joe Biden in 2020
Resolved
YES
A US state which borders the ocean
Resolved
NO
A town with a multi-word name (e.g. San Diego, El Paso)
Resolved
NO
Cavendish, Vermont
Resolved
NO
Vermont
Resolved
NO
Eurasian Plate
Resolved
NO
San Francisco
Resolved
NO
Chicago
Resolved
NO
Madison, WI
Resolved
NO
Jail
Resolved
NO
trapped in a water well
Resolved
NO
In a US state capital
Resolved
NO
a US National Park

To avoid confusion, this is an unlinked market, which will resolve YES to every well-defined geographic location in which I will be present on January 15, 2025.

For instance, if I am in Berkeley, then "Berkeley", "Bay Area", "California", and "United States" all resolve YES.

If I'm in two different places on that day, they both resolve to YES. Feel free to add answers; I'll N/A anything that's too ambiguous to easily evaluate.

Market context
Personal
Climate
Grab Bag
CoolFold
2024
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ371
2Ṁ359
3Ṁ53
4Ṁ43
5Ṁ41

People are also trading

Sort by:

Spent the whole day in Berkeley!

Next one:

Currently, my best estimate is that I'll be in Berkeley

bought Ṁ25 NO

If you are in Berkeley in the morning and then drive to SF during the day, do both resolve YES? Or do you resolve at a specific time?

@lalaithion They'll both resolve YES

bought Ṁ5 NO

well-defined geographic location

suggestion: trapped in a water well

People are also trading

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy