The US Freedom House score improved from 83 in 2024 to 84 in 2025. However, during Trump's first presidency, the score declined significantly, from 89 to 83.

This market asks whether the US will see a decline of 3 or more points in the 2026 report.

Current Score: 84/100 (2025 report) Previous Score: 83/100 (2024 report)

Resolution: Resolves YES if the US score in the Freedom in the World 2026 report is 80 or below (a decline of 4+ points from 84). Resolves NO if the score is 81 or above.

Sources: US Freedom House scores and 2025 report findings