US Freedom House score declines by 3+ points in 2026 report compared to 2025
12
Ṁ1kṀ913Jan 30
77%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The US Freedom House score improved from 83 in 2024 to 84 in 2025. However, during Trump's first presidency, the score declined significantly, from 89 to 83.
This market asks whether the US will see a decline of 3 or more points in the 2026 report.
Current Score: 84/100 (2025 report) Previous Score: 83/100 (2024 report)
Resolution: Resolves YES if the US score in the Freedom in the World 2026 report is 80 or below (a decline of 4+ points from 84). Resolves NO if the score is 81 or above.
Sources: US Freedom House scores and 2025 report findings
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
US Fragile States Index 2025 score
56.1
Will the United States be rated a free country by Freedom House in 2028?
76% chance
Will the United States' Economic Freedom Score be <70 in the 2027 release?
50% chance
Will India be rated a free country by Freedom House in 2028?
33% chance
Will Israel be rated a free country by Freedom House in 2028?
75% chance
What will the UK's Freedom House Freedom in the World score be for 2034 if the PM after the next GE is Reform?
85.9
What will Gabon's 2028 'Freedom in the World' score be?
39% chance
What will the UK's Freedom House Freedom in the World score be for 2034 if the PM after the next GE is Conservatives?
85.7
What will the UK's Freedom House Freedom in the World score be for 2034 if the PM after the next GE is Labour?
86.0
Will Ukraine be rated a free country by Freedom House in 2028?
53% chance