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MANIFOLD
What will the UK's Freedom House Freedom in the World score be for 2034 if the PM after the next GE is Labour?
1
Ṁ275Ṁ2.8k
2035
86 points
expected
0.9%
0 ≤ score < 10
1.1%
10 ≤ score < 20
1.2%
20 ≤ score < 30
1.3%
30 ≤ score < 40
1.2%
40 ≤ score < 50
1.4%
50 ≤ score < 60
1.5%
60 ≤ score < 70
2%
70 ≤ score < 80
36%
80 ≤ score < 90
53%
90 ≤ score ≤ 100

Resolution is by the United Kingdom's Freedom in the World total score (0–100) from Freedom House, combining Political Rights (up to 40 points) and Civil Liberties (up to 60 points), using the report assessing developments from 1 January through 31 December 2034, normally Freedom in the World 2035.

Source: https://freedomhouse.org/country/united-kingdom/freedom-world ; methodology: https://freedomhouse.org/reports/freedom-world/freedom-world-research-methodology

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