Will there be enough volcanic or seismic activity at Campi Flegrei in 2024 to lead to an evacuation?
9
499
585
Dec 31
30%
chance

The Campi Flegrei (Phlegraean Fields) caldera in western Naples is increasingly active, and in a densely populated area. Will there, before the end of 2024, be an evacuation of more than 1,000 people due to seismic or volcanic activity?

Get Ṁ200 play money
Sort by:
bought Ṁ35 of NO

Related (but I think not a pure arb, since it could be evacuated without erupting?)