Friend is:

* 25 years old cishet man.

* From Israel.

* Computer science student.

* Had no long term relationships in the past.

* Uses OKCupid as the only dating app. puts a lot of effort into it. only looking for long term relationships there.

* Past romantic encounters are half from apps half from real life.

* Not remarkably hot or ugly.

If he doesn't enter a relationship in this time period, this will resolve NA. It will only resolve "No" if his next relationship starts from a source that is not online dating.

Neither I nor my friend will bet on this market.

I'll just add consent-wise that this market was made with my friend's participation.