Would a Category 1 or higher hurricane hit New Orleans in 2024?

Basic

16

Ṁ2855

resolved Jan 2

Resolved

NO

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Natural Disasters

#Extreme Weather

Get

1,000

and

3.00

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ92
2		Ṁ44
3		Ṁ43
4		Ṁ25
5		Ṁ16

Sort by:

Can you define the criteria for hitting New Orleans?
If a hurricane makes landfall in Mississippi and New Orleans experiences wind and rain, is that enough to count?
Does the eye wall need to cross over New Orleans?
Does it require hurricane force winds over New Orleans?

@AmmonLam can we get some clairity on what counts as hitting New Orleans?

@StephenStroup I’ll go with news report. If a new media said the hurricane hits New Orlean, I’ll consider that a YEs resolution

Related questions

Will a category 5 hurricane hit the USA before 2026?

Will a hurricane be designated "Category 6" on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale by the NHC by the end of 2030?

Will a major hurricane (Saffir-Simpson Cat. 3+) form in the Atlantic basin before July 31, 2025?

Will a category 5 hurricane form during the 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season?

[Metaculus] Will New York City experience a hurricane by 2030?

Related questions

Will a category 5 hurricane hit the USA before 2026?

Will a category 5 hurricane form during the 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season?

Will a hurricane be designated "Category 6" on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale by the NHC by the end of 2030?

[Metaculus] Will New York City experience a hurricane by 2030?

Will a major hurricane (Saffir-Simpson Cat. 3+) form in the Atlantic basin before July 31, 2025?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules