Will YouTube surpass Facebook to be the #1 social media platform in 2025?
8
130Ṁ426Jan 1
6%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Measured by monthly active users
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_social_platforms_with_at_least_100_million_active_users
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will YouTube surpass Facebook to be the #1 social media platform in 2027?
77% chance
Will YouTube surpass Facebook to be the #1 social media platform in 2026?
20% chance
Will YouTube surpass Facebook to be the #1 social media platform in 2028?
69% chance
Will YouTube surpass Facebook to be the #1 social media platform in 2029?
34% chance
Will YouTube surpass Facebook to be the #1 social media platform in 2030?
28% chance
Will Twitter surpass YouTube as a video platform by 2030?
7% chance
Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 5B views before 2026?
1% chance
Will a new social media platform be the most popular worldwide by 2032?
43% chance
Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 500M views before 2027?
92% chance
Will there be a new social media platform surpassing Instagram before the end of 2026?
34% chance