
Will YouTube surpass Facebook to be the #1 social media platform in 2029?
6
150Ṁ562030
34%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Measured by monthly active users
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_social_platforms_with_at_least_100_million_active_users
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
YouTube’s growth in creator-driven content and celebrity influence might push it ahead. With rising interest in celebrity jona källgren familj lifestyles and income trends, people increasingly follow stars through video content rather than posts.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be a new social media platform surpassing Instagram before the end of 2027?
26% chance
Will YouTube surpass Facebook to be the #1 social media platform in 2028?
69% chance
Will YouTube surpass Facebook to be the #1 social media platform in 2027?
77% chance
Will YouTube surpass Facebook to be the #1 social media platform in 2026?
20% chance
Will YouTube surpass Facebook to be the #1 social media platform in 2030?
28% chance
Will Twitter surpass YouTube as a video platform by 2030?
7% chance
Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 2B views before 2026?
1% chance
Will a new social media platform be the most popular worldwide by 2032?
43% chance
Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 1B views before 2027?
57% chance
Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 500M views before 2027?
96% chance