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MANIFOLD
Will Trump be less than 40 points ahead of any candidates in national poll for Republican Primary at any point in 2024?
12
Ṁ230Ṁ30k
resolved Feb 17
Resolved
YES

Resolve according to the national poll points reported on fivethirtyeight
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-r/2024/national/

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@AmmonLam resolves yes, he was ahead by only 33 here (https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/biden_administration/gop_primary_trump_leads_haley_by_33_points), 28-30 January Rassussen Reports on 538 page