Will there be more than 30 New Volcano Eruptions in 2024?
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6
Ṁ119Jan 1
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Resolve according to data reported in Smithsonian Global Volcanism Program's website
https://volcano.si.edu/faq/index.cfm?question=eruptionsbyyear
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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bought Ṁ100 YES
I used TimeGPT to extend the time series.
There are two options, seeing the series as Year End and Year Start.
This is the result for both:
Year TimeGPT
0 2023-12-31 30.453636
1 2024-12-31 30.182049
Year TimeGPT
0 2024-01-01 30.453636
1 2025-01-01 30.182049
This is more than 30, so I'll try that (and will probably lose).
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