What would be true about the first Manifold question to be #1 on Hacker News

Will the first mention of Manifold in mainstream news be positive?

What would be true about the first Manifold question to be featured in an r/all post? (Reddit's daily top content)

Will Manifold allow questions to be resolved by a poll of random users before 2025?

In what year will Manifold discover product-market fit?

When will someone first manage to get Manifold running locally?

When will Manifold implement question format for predicting dates?

Which company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold?

Which manifold users will have created the most questions by EOY 2024?