When will a Manifold question or comment be posted by someone in space?
Plus
15
Ṁ1672Jan 2
2%
In 2024
4%
In 2025 or earlier
7%
In 2026 or earlier
10%
In 2027 or earlier
14%
In 2028 or earlier
17%
In 2029 or earlier
24%
In 2030 or earlier
23%
In 2031 or earlier
26%
In 2032 or earlier
29%
In 2033 or earlier
The market will resolve positively when any Manifold question or comment is posted by a human user who at the time is located in space, i.e. above Karman line, 100 km above the Earth surface. Both orbital and suborbital flights qualify.
The account posting the question or comment has to be tied to a real person of whom it is publicly known that they were in space at the time.
If you are in space right now, please leave a comment under this question, this will simplify the resolution.
If I happen to fly to space while this question is not yet resolved, I will attempt to do it there.
I do not bet on my own questions.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@BrunoParga If you could fit all of the conditions in the title, there wouldn't be any need for the description, wouldn't it?
Related questions
Related questions
When would we have the first Manifold question to be featured in an r/all post?
Will the Manifold X/Twitter account (@manifoldmarkets) tweet this question before 2025?
30% chance
Which Manifold User will get the most comment likes in 2024?
When will Manifold implement question format for predicting dates?
Will Manifold allow questions to be resolved by a poll of random users before 2025?
28% chance
Will there be a day in 2024 with 1,000 questions created on Manifold?
7% chance
Will a specific Manifold DM sent today be revealed publicly by Manifold before 2025?
4% chance
Will Manifold give me a million Manas for this question?
8% chance
When would we have the first Manifold question to be #1 on Hacker News?
What will be the first Manifold question to get to the front page of Hacker News?
Ṁ0 bounty