What would be true about the first Manifold question to be #1 on Hacker News
Basic
6
Ṁ435Jan 1
76%
AI related
73%
LLM related
66%
Created by a Manifold Partner Creator (past or present partner)
44%
will be a MC market that allows people to add responses
34%
Created by Manifold Politics account
34%
Chatgpt related
29%
Created by Ammon Lam
27%
Created by Ammon Lam AND has at least 2 other similar questions written at the same time
27%
involves 'crossing the streams' (ie: will X before Y where they are both unrelated events)
24%
Created by a Manifold Staff
20%
will be about crypto
18%
Created by Mira
8%
will be about one piece
When a Manifold question got to #1 on Hacker News, I will use my judgement to decide how to resolve each answer. Since this is an unlinked market, multiple answers can be resolved to 100% at the same time.
See related bounty markets by SG:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Created by Ammon Lam AND has at least 2 other similar questions written at the same time
Related questions
Related questions
What will be the first Manifold question to be #1 on Hacker News?
Ṁ25,001 bounty
What would be true about the first Manifold question to be featured in an r/all post? (Reddit's daily top content)
When would we have the first Manifold question to be #1 on Hacker News?
When would we have the first Manifold question to be featured in an r/all post?
What will be the first Manifold question to get to the front page of Hacker News?
Ṁ0 bounty
Will Manifold un-Sweepify more than 1 question in 2024?
73% chance
Will the first mention of Manifold in mainstream news be positive?
46% chance
Will there be a day in 2024 with 1,000 questions created on Manifold?
27% chance
What will be the first Manifold question to get a score of 100+ on Reddit?
Ṁ0 bounty
If Manifold gets negative news coverage, will a large number of new users join?
82% chance