For every dollar of profit I make on this market, I'll donate two dollar to one of the charity in the comment
For every dollar of profit I make on this market, I'll donate two dollar to one of the charity in the comment
19
370Ṁ3721resolved Jan 6
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I'm going to hold a bunch of limit order No at 0.50, and I plan to resolve this market to No.
Feel free to comment which charity I should donate to
https://manifold.markets/charity
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
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Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.