MANIFOLD
Trump will pardon Ross Ulbricht by 3/1/2025
43
Ṁ100Ṁ7.6k
resolved Jan 23
Resolved
YES

Trump is elected.

If Ross Ulbricht isn't a free man on 3/1/2025, this will resolve to 0%.
If Ross steps out of jail thanks to Trump by 3/1/2025, this resolves to a yes, 100%

  • Update 2025-21-01 (PST): - Ross must step on free US soil for this market to resolve to Yes. (AI summary of creator comment)

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I've seen photos of him walking free on Reddit.

@AmericanPirate

@EBSnyder ty as per terms

of the market Ross must step on free US soil for this market to resolve to Yes

@AmericanPirate

bought Ṁ15 NO

I would like that very much to happen. But I fear it's a NO.

My thesis: Trump does not know who he is and can't get political capital out of a pardon.

@uair01 in case you didn’t know, I think the reason there’s all these markets about this is that he made a campaign promise to pardon Ulbricht

@BoltonBailey Thanks! I didn't know that. It seems so uncharacteristic for Trump to care about this. Let's hope it happens.

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