Will the Collatz conjecture be resolved by the end of the decade (11:59, 31 December 2029)?
Plus
32
Ṁ17792030
26%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
It's a problem a child could understand. Still, there have been countless mathematicians "wasting their careers" attempting to solve what is beyond our grasp -- and it fundamentally comes down to understanding how the multiplicative structure of the integers interacts with the additive. This will be resolved if a proof or disproof is in a journal of high esteem by the time the clock ticks by.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
There's a lot of unexplored theory in the space of directed 1-forests: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pseudoforest
Functional graphs define directed 1-forests. In the case of the collatz conjecture this involves demonstrating that the infinite graph contains only one cycle.
Related questions
Related questions
Will the Collatz Conjecture (3x+1 problem) be solved before 2030?
20% chance
Will an AI solve any important mathematical conjecture before January 1st, 2030?
79% chance
Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2030?
38% chance
Is the Collatz conjecture true?
86% chance
Will chess be solved by 2040?
21% chance
Will P vs NP be resolved by 2043?
31% chance
Will chess be solved by 2100?
28% chance
Will a correct solution to a Millennium Prize Problem be published by the end of 2030?
34% chance
Will Goldbach's conjecture be proved before 2040?
42% chance
Will chess be solved by year 9999?
72% chance