When will a large-scale geoengineering intervention cause an international dispute?
Plus
10
Ṁ377Nov 23
79%
2040
76%
2060
56%
2035
50%
2045
50%
2050
50%
2055
47%
2030
17%
2025
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This question is part of Foresight’s 2023 Vision Weekends to help spark discussion amongst participants, so the phrasing and resolution criteria may be vaguer than I would normally like for this site. Apologies for that. We thought it would still be useful to make the market public to potentially inform other discussions.
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@AllisonDuettmann How will these resolve? Are they each indpendent, so that you might have some early ones resolve Yes while later ones resolve No if there aren't any further disputes?
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