Dan Osborn is running for Senate in Nebraska again in 2026, and is once again expected to make it a relatively close race in a deep red state. He is running against a different candidate, Pete Ricketts, this time though. 2026 is also expected to favor the democrats, though Osborn is an independent and has refused the Democratic endorsement.
The market will resolve to YES if Dan Osborn receives more than the 46.52% of the vote he got in 2024. It is NOT based on margin of victory or loss, just voteshare
1,000Market was 80% when I bet; I have it around 2%. NBC has Osborn at 43.6% with about 94% of the expected vote counted and roughly 47,000 votes left. To get above 46.52% he'd need about 93% of those remaining votes. https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2026-elections/nebraska-results