Who will be the SPD front-runner (Spitzenkandidat) for Germany's next federal election?
➕
Plus
32
Ṁ8929
2025
94%
Olaf Scholz
0.8%
Boris Pistorius
5%
Other

Context: With current Chancellor Olaf Scholz experiencing record low approval ratings and Boris Pistorius being identified as Germany's most popular politician according to recent polls, there is significant speculation regarding who the SPD will select as their front-runner (Spitzenkandidat) for the upcoming federal election.

See for example here: https://www.zdf.de/nachrichten/politik/deutschland/spd-kanzler-kandidatur-2025-muentefering-scholz-pistorius-100.html

Resolution Criteria: This market resolves to the individual officially chosen by the SPD as their Spitzenkandidat (front-runner) for the next federal election.

Note: The close date for this market may be adjusted.

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bought Ṁ1,000 Boris Pistorius NO

Pistorius announced, that he will not be available for the role:

https://www.tagesschau.de/eilmeldung/eilmeldung-8292.html

bought Ṁ500 Olaf Scholz YES

Related market for the CDU/CSU front-runner:

/marktwse/who-will-be-the-cducsu-frontrunner

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