Current capacity, after 1 year of war, is reduced from 50 gigawatt to 15 gigawatt.
In a next Winter season of energy war, will Ukraine permanently lose centralized energy supply to inhanbitants?
Criteria:
Any major city (Lvov, Odessa, Dnepropetrovsk, Kiev, Kharkov) will lose majority of central heating before 1st of April 2024
OR
2. Any major city (Lvov, Odessa, Dnepropetrovsk, Kiev, Kharkov) will lose majority of central electricity before 1st of April 2024
AND
3. No electricity or No heating will last more than 30 days and authorities/humanitarian org/ population will start evacuation from the City
@Odoacre the creator is inactive and I only haven't resolved this yet because mods aren't supposed to bet immediately prior to resolving.
Are you aware of any evacuations of Lvov, Odessa, Dnepropetrovsk, Kiev, or Kharkov prior to April 1st due to an electrical or heating outage lasting more than 30 days?
@chrisjbillington I bought after reading the title, I sold after reading the description.
@chrisjbillington yeah, I lucked out and managed to steal some money from a bot and was trying to goad it into betting again.
@CromlynGames Average temperature in Ukraine during winter is +5 - 5/ non survivable without heating systems and electricity. Many diesel generators are bought, but they are covering 5-10% of demand. Without central heating /electricity systems, cities will become a place without survival conditions and population will flee. In this case evaciation happen by natural order or by government/humanitarian efforts.