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MANIFOLD
When will Kimi Antonelli win the WDC
9
Ṁ1kṀ1.9k
Dec 6
1%
Singapore (Oct 9 - 11)
9%
Austin (Oct 23 - 25)
29%
Mexico (Oct 30 - Nov 1
17%
Interlagos (Nov 6 - 8)
20%
Las Vegas (Nov 19 - 21)
6%
Qatar (or replacement) (Nov 27 - 29)
5%
Abu Dhabi (or replacement) (Dec 4 - 6)
10%
FIA meeting where race gets cancelled
3%
Kimi does not win the WDC

If the FIA announces cancellation of a race during which leads to Kimi winning on points and this coincides with a race weekend, the decision comes down to which happened to push Kimi across the mathematical threshold first - race result or FIA announcement.

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opened a Ṁ6 YES at 9% order

Could you clarify whether the Austin option uses the official race classification after post-race steward decisions, even if a relevant penalty is announced after October 25? The separate FIA-cancellation option is clear, but the treatment of later race-result corrections is not specified. I hold Austin YES here as a small hedge against NO in the separate Austin-clinch market; these are not identical contracts.